MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026

PHI @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
105
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 86°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

PHI Cristopher Sánchez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.8 BF

Expected batters faced25.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-143+107

We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)14.0%3.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)13.0%3.0 PA
4Dylan Crews (R)15.4%3.0 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)9.9%3.0 PA
6Jacob Young (R)12.4%3.0 PA
7Nasim Nuñez (R)14.2%3.0 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)12.8%2.8 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (R)11.8%2.0 PA

WSH Cade Cavalli · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
DKDraftKings-103-129
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)13.4%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)15.0%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)18.3%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)15.1%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)10.4%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)12.8%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)12.9%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)7.7%2.0 PA