‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026
TEX @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026
TEX
Texas Rangers
6–5
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 62°F CloudyWind 11 mph, L To R
MacKenzie Gore · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.0%
vs RHB9.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
DKDraftKings-108-123
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)10.0%3.0 PA
2Ernie Clement (R)12.6%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.4%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.2%3.0 PA
5Alejandro Kirk (R)11.4%2.9 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)9.4%2.0 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)13.1%2.0 PA
8Myles Straw (R)9.8%2.0 PA
9Luis Urías (R)10.6%2.0 PA
Kevin Gausman · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.1% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB14.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
DKDraftKings+117-156
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.5%3.0 PA
2Wyatt Langford (R)12.7%3.0 PA
3Corey Seager (L)13.2%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)11.2%3.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.5%2.7 PA
6Ezequiel Duran (R)12.5%2.0 PA
7Alejandro Osuna (L)10.7%2.0 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)10.5%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)10.1%2.0 PA