KC @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

Kansas City Royals

2–13

Final

Tampa Bay Rays

◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

Seth Lugo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.4%

vs RHB10.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

DKDraftKings-104-127

FANFanatics-110-130

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Yandy Díaz (R)11.8%3.0 PA

2Jonathan Aranda (L)12.6%3.0 PA

3Junior Caminero (R)12.0%3.0 PA

4Richie Palacios (L)12.4%3.0 PA

5Chandler Simpson (L)11.8%2.9 PA

6Cedric Mullins (L)11.0%2.0 PA

7Taylor Walls (L)12.8%2.0 PA

8Victor Mesa Jr. (L)13.3%2.0 PA

9Hunter Feduccia (L)12.2%2.0 PA

Casey Legumina · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.8 BF

Expected batters faced9.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-165

We project 1.3 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carter Jensen (L)14.0%1.8 PA

2Nick Loftin (R)14.0%1.0 PA

3Jac Caglianone (L)15.5%1.0 PA

4Lane Thomas (R)11.4%1.0 PA

5Josh Rojas (L)11.3%1.0 PA

6Salvador Perez (R)9.3%1.0 PA

7Isaac Collins (L)10.9%1.0 PA

8Starling Marte (R)11.9%1.0 PA

9Tyler Tolbert (R)18.9%1.0 PA