MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026

AZ @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
vs
Postponed
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft

AZ Zac Gallen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate14.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB13.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
DKDraftKings-137+104

We project 3.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)15.6%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)15.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)14.4%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)10.3%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)14.4%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.6%2.9 PA
7Nathan Church (L)13.7%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9José Fermín (R)9.1%2.0 PA

STL Michael McGreevy · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.7% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
DKDraftKings-103-129
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.3%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.0%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Adrian Del Castillo (L)10.5%3.0 PA
5Max Kepler (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Pavin Smith (L)9.7%2.2 PA
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)8.7%2.0 PA
8Ildemaro Vargas (L)13.5%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)12.4%2.0 PA