MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026

ATH @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
96
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 64°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Varies

ATH Jeffrey Springs · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate15.5% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.6%
vs RHB14.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+100-140

We project 3.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Matt Chapman (R)13.4%3.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)12.1%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)10.5%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)10.1%3.0 PA
5Willy Adames (R)11.5%2.4 PA
6Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.8%2.0 PA
7Victor Bericoto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Daniel Susac (R)9.8%2.0 PA
9Jonah Cox (R)11.7%2.0 PA

SF Landen Roupp · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB10.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-167+125

We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Henry Bolte (R)8.1%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)16.1%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)12.4%3.0 PA
4Tyler Soderstrom (L)13.9%3.0 PA
5Jonah Heim (L)10.2%2.5 PA
6Lawrence Butler (L)13.7%2.0 PA
7Max Muncy (R)11.5%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)10.5%2.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)14.4%2.0 PA