SEA @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

1–5

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 75°F OvercastWind 11 mph, Out To LF

Bryce Miller · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.4%

vs RHB10.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

DKDraftKings-165+124

We project 1.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jake Mangum (L)10.6%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)14.1%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.2%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)12.1%2.0 PA

5Ryan O'Hearn (L)10.5%2.0 PA

6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Tyler Callihan (L)12.8%2.0 PA

8Jared Triolo (R)9.7%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)10.5%2.0 PA

Bubba Chandler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.0%

vs RHB7.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

DKDraftKings-101-132

FANFanatics+100-140

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)11.1%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (L)11.9%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)12.0%3.0 PA

4Josh Naylor (L)10.6%3.0 PA

5Randy Arozarena (R)14.2%2.2 PA

6Luke Raley (L)12.2%2.0 PA

7Cole Young (L)12.3%2.0 PA

8Mitch Garver (R)11.3%2.0 PA

9Colt Emerson (L)12.2%2.0 PA