MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026

NYY @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
36
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 85°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To LF

NYY Cam Schlittler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate6.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB6.8%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
DKDraftKings-148+112

We project 1.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Masataka Yoshida (L)9.2%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)10.6%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)10.4%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.5%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)11.0%3.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)12.4%2.4 PA
7Anthony Seigler (L)11.8%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)9.2%2.0 PA
9Marcelo Mayer (L)8.6%2.0 PA

BOS Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-115
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Paul Goldschmidt (R)13.6%3.0 PA
2Ben Rice (L)10.6%3.0 PA
3Amed Rosario (R)10.4%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)12.7%3.0 PA
5Jasson Domínguez (R)10.3%3.0 PA
6Anthony Volpe (R)12.7%3.0 PA
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.4%2.5 PA
8José Caballero (R)15.1%2.0 PA
9Austin Wells (L)9.3%2.0 PA