MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

TEX @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
54
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 68°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To RF

TEX Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB10.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.8 BF

Expected batters faced25.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
DKDraftKings-116-114

We project 3.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)13.9%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)11.3%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.2%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)13.5%3.0 PA
5Daulton Varsho (L)14.0%3.0 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)10.7%3.0 PA
7Jesús Sánchez (L)10.5%3.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (L)10.5%2.8 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)9.9%2.0 PA

TOR Patrick Corbin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB13.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
DKDraftKings-107-124
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Wyatt Langford (R)12.5%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)9.4%3.0 PA
4Jake Burger (R)11.1%2.4 PA
5Justin Foscue (R)11.6%2.0 PA
6Ezequiel Duran (R)9.8%2.0 PA
7Kyle Higashioka (R)11.5%2.0 PA
8Alejandro Osuna (L)12.0%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)11.0%2.0 PA