MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

AZ @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
16
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

AZ Zac Gallen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate14.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB13.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
DKDraftKings-134+101

We project 3.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)11.8%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)12.6%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)12.0%3.0 PA
4Richie Palacios (L)12.4%3.0 PA
5Jonny DeLuca (R)12.3%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)11.0%2.9 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)13.3%2.0 PA
8Taylor Walls (L)12.8%2.0 PA
9Hunter Feduccia (L)12.2%2.0 PA

TB Nick Martinez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.5% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.8%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-118
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics-120-120

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.3%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.0%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)11.1%3.0 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)10.0%3.0 PA
6Max Kepler (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)8.7%2.1 PA
8Pavin Smith (L)9.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)12.4%2.0 PA