‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026
MIA @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
4–0
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 77°F OvercastWind 6 mph, Out To LF
Max Meyer · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-129
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)15.6%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)15.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)14.4%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)10.3%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)14.4%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.6%3.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)13.7%2.5 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9José Fermín (R)9.1%2.0 PA
Michael McGreevy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings-110-120
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jakob Marsee (L)10.2%3.0 PA
2Griffin Conine (L)12.5%3.0 PA
3Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)12.0%3.0 PA
5Otto Lopez (R)15.0%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)11.8%2.2 PA
7Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Esteury Ruiz (R)13.7%2.0 PA
9Graham Pauley (L)8.9%2.0 PA