‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026
ATL @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
3–1
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 62°F OvercastWind 15 mph, Out To CF
Reynaldo López · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.5 BF
Expected batters faced11.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
DKDraftKings-163+122
We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.4%2.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)12.3%2.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)11.0%1.6 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)12.1%1.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.1%1.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.2%1.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)10.5%1.0 PA
8Drew Cavanaugh (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Victor Bericoto (R)11.7%1.0 PA
Trevor McDonald · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.6%
vs RHB9.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
DKDraftKings+113-150
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 3.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)12.8%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)10.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)12.8%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)16.5%3.0 PA
5Drake Baldwin (L)14.5%2.7 PA
6Austin Riley (R)9.5%2.0 PA
7Dominic Smith (L)12.3%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)10.5%2.0 PA