MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

LAD @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

LAD
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
17
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R

LAD Roki Sasaki · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.5%
vs RHB11.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-190+135
BOVBovada-170+130

We project 3.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)13.1%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)13.4%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)12.2%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.8%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.1%2.9 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8Will Wagner (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB11.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-111-120
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)16.8%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.4%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)14.1%2.8 PA
5Max Muncy (L)14.5%2.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)13.8%2.0 PA
7Tommy Edman (L)9.1%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)12.0%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)10.8%2.0 PA