‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026
CIN @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
6–4
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF
Andrew Abbott · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB8.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-123-108
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Konnor Griffin (R)12.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)12.0%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)13.1%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)9.2%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)12.8%3.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jared Triolo (R)11.4%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)10.1%2.0 PA
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.1%
vs RHB7.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)12.2%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)14.0%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)14.0%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.4%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.7%3.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)10.2%2.6 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)12.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)9.3%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)10.2%2.0 PA