MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

COL @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
89
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 78°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, R To L

COL Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.6%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-163+123

We project 3.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)14.6%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)16.6%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)12.9%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)13.9%3.0 PA
5Victor Caratini (L)11.5%3.0 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)10.2%2.0 PA
7Brooks Lee (L)13.9%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)9.1%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)14.3%2.0 PA

MIN Taj Bradley · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.8%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
DKDraftKings-102-130
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 3.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)13.2%3.0 PA
2Mickey Moniak (L)12.1%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)13.1%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)13.6%3.0 PA
5Willi Castro (L)13.5%3.0 PA
6Troy Johnston (L)12.6%2.0 PA
7Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.2%2.0 PA
9Edouard Julien (L)10.2%2.0 PA