‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026
CHC @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
2–6
Final
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 71°F Roof ClosedWind 6 mph, Calm
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.4%
vs RHB12.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-121-109
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 3.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)16.4%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)13.2%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)15.3%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)12.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)15.3%2.7 PA
6Andrew Vaughn (R)8.7%2.0 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)15.2%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.7%2.0 PA
Jacob Misiorowski · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate6.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB5.8%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+112-148
We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)16.0%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)10.9%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)10.6%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.5%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)15.6%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)9.1%3.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)13.3%2.3 PA
8Matt Shaw (R)13.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)14.3%2.0 PA