‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026
HOU @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
0–8
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 73°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From LF
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.5%
vs RHB12.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-115
DKDraftKings-147+110
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.1%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)14.5%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)13.7%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)10.8%3.0 PA
6Colt Keith (L)12.6%2.7 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)9.2%2.0 PA
8Matt Vierling (R)8.6%2.0 PA
9James Outman (L)10.5%2.0 PA
Keider Montero · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.0%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings-112-118
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)14.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.4%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)9.9%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)11.4%2.5 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)13.0%2.0 PA
6Joey Loperfido (L)12.6%2.0 PA
7Yainer Diaz (R)9.8%2.0 PA
8Cam Smith (R)10.8%2.0 PA
9Taylor Trammell (L)11.9%2.0 PA