MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

KC @ CWS Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
122
Final
CWS
Chicago White Sox
CWS
Rate FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 66°F CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

KC Steven Cruz · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.9 BF

Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CWS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Sam Antonacci (L)16.0%1.9 PA
2Miguel Vargas (R)13.5%1.0 PA
3Kyle Teel (L)11.4%1.0 PA
4Andrew Benintendi (L)12.2%1.0 PA
5Colson Montgomery (L)11.8%1.0 PA
6Chase Meidroth (R)10.9%1.0 PA
7Braden Montgomery (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Tristan Peters (L)13.5%1.0 PA
9Jacob Gonzalez (L)11.7%1.0 PA

CWS David Sandlin · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+120-170

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)14.0%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)12.6%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)15.5%3.0 PA
4Lane Thomas (R)11.4%2.2 PA
5Michael Massey (L)11.4%2.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)9.3%2.0 PA
7Josh Rojas (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)14.0%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (L)10.9%2.0 PA