‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026
WSH @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026
WSH
Washington Nationals
1–3
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 83°F CloudyWind 5 mph, In From LF
Andrew Alvarez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB7.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.3 BF
Expected batters faced17.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
DKDraftKings+121-160
We project 1.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)14.6%2.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)10.7%2.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)12.4%2.0 PA
4Coby Mayo (R)15.1%2.0 PA
5Tyler O'Neill (R)11.5%2.0 PA
6Samuel Basallo (L)9.4%2.0 PA
7Leody Taveras (R)8.0%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)10.2%1.3 PA
Trevor Rogers · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB12.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-118
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-105-126
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)14.0%3.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)13.0%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)12.3%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)15.4%2.6 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)9.9%2.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)12.4%2.0 PA
8Nasim Nuñez (R)14.2%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (R)11.8%2.0 PA