MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026

TEX @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
74
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 73°F SunnyWind 7 mph, R To L

TEX Cal Quantrill · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB13.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload11.2 BF

Expected batters faced11.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nathan Lukes (L)11.3%2.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.5%2.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)12.8%1.2 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)13.9%1.0 PA
5Alejandro Kirk (R)8.1%1.0 PA
6Sean Keys (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)10.7%1.0 PA
8Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)10.4%1.0 PA

TOR Dylan Cease · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB8.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-144+108
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)12.9%3.0 PA
2Wyatt Langford (R)13.0%3.0 PA
3Corey Seager (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)10.7%3.0 PA
5Josh Jung (R)10.5%3.0 PA
6Jake Burger (R)12.0%2.4 PA
7Jarred Kelenic (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Elias Díaz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)10.8%2.0 PA