‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026
MIA @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
5–1
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 83°F CloudyWind 7 mph, R To L
Ryan Gusto · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB12.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.0 BF
Expected batters faced17.0
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-110-121
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)14.7%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)14.0%2.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)13.2%2.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)10.3%2.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)14.5%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.3%2.0 PA
7Bryan Torres (L)12.6%2.0 PA
8Jimmy Crooks (L)8.0%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)13.4%1.0 PA
Andre Pallante · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.1%
vs RHB9.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+102-135
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)10.3%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.1%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)11.2%3.0 PA
4Heriberto Hernández (R)11.6%3.0 PA
5Owen Caissie (L)12.3%2.7 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)10.2%2.0 PA
7Griffin Conine (L)11.5%2.0 PA
8Javier Sanoja (R)9.9%2.0 PA
9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA