‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026
ATL @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
0–5
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 63°F ClearWind 19 mph, Out To CF
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate13.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB13.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
DKDraftKings-121-109
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 3.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)12.5%3.0 PA
2Casey Schmitt (R)11.3%3.0 PA
3Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Willy Adames (R)12.0%3.0 PA
6Bryce Eldridge (L)11.1%3.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)9.8%2.7 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)11.3%2.0 PA
9Drew Cavanaugh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Logan Webb · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB9.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
DKDraftKings+115-153
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)12.7%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)15.6%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)12.3%3.0 PA
4Drake Baldwin (L)13.8%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)12.4%3.0 PA
6Mauricio Dubón (R)11.4%3.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)10.2%2.9 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.3%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)10.0%2.0 PA