‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026
LAD @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
15–3
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 69°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R
Yoshinobu Yamamoto · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB10.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-136+102
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)13.0%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)13.1%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)11.5%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)12.3%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.3%3.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.8%3.0 PA
7Miguel Andujar (R)10.9%2.6 PA
8Will Wagner (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)10.2%2.0 PA
Kyle Hart · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB12.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.4 BF
Expected batters faced9.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
We project 1.0 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
LAD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)13.4%1.4 PA
2Andy Pages (R)11.2%1.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)11.0%1.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)12.0%1.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)12.6%1.0 PA
6Tommy Edman (R)11.3%1.0 PA
7Kyle Tucker (L)10.7%1.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)11.0%1.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (R)10.8%1.0 PA