‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026
CIN @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
9–7
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F OvercastWind 5 mph, In From RF
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate6.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
DKDraftKings-159+119
We project 1.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake Mangum (L)10.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.4%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)12.4%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.4%2.5 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)10.2%2.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)13.2%2.0 PA
8Tyler Callihan (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)10.2%2.0 PA
Jared Jones · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate13.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB16.5%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.9 BF
Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
DKDraftKings-146+110
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (L)14.1%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)11.9%2.9 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)12.8%2.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)10.4%2.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)11.4%2.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)10.7%2.0 PA
7Dane Myers (R)10.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)9.6%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA