‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026
PHI @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
2–6
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 73°F DrizzleWind 4 mph, In From LF
Tim Mayza · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB6.8%
vs RHB12.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.1 BF
Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection0.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+190-275
FANFanatics+185-270
We project 0.9 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)12.4%1.1 PA
2Juan Soto (L)12.6%1.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)13.8%1.0 PA
4Francisco Lindor (R)11.3%1.0 PA
5Jared Young (L)10.3%1.0 PA
6Mark Vientos (R)12.5%1.0 PA
7A.J. Ewing (L)9.6%1.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)11.8%1.0 PA
9Francisco Alvarez (R)10.5%1.0 PA
Christian Scott · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-153+115
We project 2.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)13.4%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)15.1%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)17.8%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)17.0%2.5 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)13.3%2.0 PA
6Edmundo Sosa (R)13.2%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)7.6%2.0 PA
9Rafael Marchán (L)7.7%2.0 PA