COL @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

8–5

Final

MIN

Minnesota Twins

◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 83°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, In From LF

Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.6%

vs RHB13.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

FANFanatics-150+105

We project 3.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Trevor Larnach (L)14.8%3.0 PA

2Byron Buxton (R)17.1%3.0 PA

3Kody Clemens (L)13.4%3.0 PA

4Josh Bell (L)13.3%3.0 PA

5Victor Caratini (L)11.9%2.3 PA

6Royce Lewis (R)10.8%2.0 PA

7Brooks Lee (L)14.7%2.0 PA

8Tristan Gray (L)9.6%2.0 PA

9Luke Keaschall (R)14.3%2.0 PA

Mike Paredes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.4 BF

Expected batters faced19.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-165

DKDraftKings+114-151

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jake McCarthy (L)13.5%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)12.5%2.4 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)12.9%2.0 PA

4TJ Rumfield (L)12.9%2.0 PA

5Willi Castro (L)14.2%2.0 PA

6Tyler Freeman (R)12.5%2.0 PA

7Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Kyle Karros (R)14.5%2.0 PA

9Brett Sullivan (L)10.1%2.0 PA