CHC @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

8–2

Final

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 72°F ClearWind 7 mph, L To R

David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.3%

vs RHB11.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jackson Chourio (R)14.1%3.0 PA

2Brice Turang (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3William Contreras (R)13.6%2.8 PA

4Andrew Vaughn (R)13.4%2.0 PA

5Gary Sánchez (R)13.5%2.0 PA

6Blake Perkins (R)12.0%2.0 PA

7Sal Frelick (L)11.2%2.0 PA

8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)9.2%2.0 PA

Kyle Harrison · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.7%

vs RHB8.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOVBovada-155+115

DKDraftKings-140+106

We project 2.2 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.0%3.0 PA

2Matt Shaw (R)13.8%3.0 PA

3Seiya Suzuki (R)12.7%3.0 PA

4Alex Bregman (R)12.3%2.7 PA

5Michael Busch (L)9.2%2.0 PA

6Nico Hoerner (R)13.5%2.0 PA

7Ian Happ (R)13.3%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)15.2%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)14.9%2.0 PA