‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026
HOU @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
8–6
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From LF
Kai-Wei Teng · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.9%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-110-121
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)13.6%3.0 PA
2Colt Keith (L)12.3%3.0 PA
3Riley Greene (L)12.4%3.0 PA
4Spencer Torkelson (R)10.0%2.6 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)10.8%2.0 PA
6Zach McKinstry (L)9.0%2.0 PA
7Hao-Yu Lee (R)9.1%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)11.8%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)10.1%2.0 PA
Framber Valdez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.1%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings-102-130
We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)10.6%3.0 PA
2Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jose Altuve (R)13.0%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)11.8%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.6%3.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)11.1%3.0 PA
7Jake Meyers (R)11.1%2.1 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)10.8%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)9.8%2.0 PA