‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026
MIA @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
2:15 PM EDT
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 89°F SunnyWind 7 mph, Out To LF
Tyler Phillips · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.5 BF
Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-115
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-129-103
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)14.2%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)13.5%2.5 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)12.4%2.0 PA
4Lars Nootbaar (L)13.9%2.0 PA
5Masyn Winn (R)11.9%2.0 PA
6Bryan Torres (L)11.8%2.0 PA
7Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nathan Church (L)13.3%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.1%
vs RHB9.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-118
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jakob Marsee (L)10.8%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.3%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)10.8%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)10.8%3.0 PA
5Heriberto Hernández (R)11.1%2.5 PA
6Griffin Conine (L)11.1%2.0 PA
7Owen Caissie (L)12.3%2.0 PA
8Graham Pauley (L)10.5%2.0 PA
9Brian Navarreto (R)12.9%2.0 PA