ATL @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

4:05 PM EDT

San Francisco Giants

◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 65°F SunnyWind 10 mph, Out To CF

Chris Sale · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate6.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.5%

vs RHB7.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

DKDraftKings-134+101

FANFanatics-140+100

We project 1.8 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Matt Chapman (R)12.0%3.0 PA

2Luis Arraez (L)9.8%3.0 PA

3Casey Schmitt (R)11.2%3.0 PA

4Rafael Devers (L)9.3%3.0 PA

5Willy Adames (R)12.7%3.0 PA

6Heliot Ramos (R)11.7%3.0 PA

7Jung Hoo Lee (L)10.8%2.9 PA

8Victor Bericoto (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Eric Haase (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Robbie Ray · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.0%

vs RHB9.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-125

DKDraftKings-113-117

We project 2.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Michael Harris II (L)11.4%3.0 PA

2Ozzie Albies (R)11.0%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)12.7%3.0 PA

4Drake Baldwin (L)13.0%3.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)10.5%3.0 PA

6Mauricio Dubón (R)11.0%2.2 PA

7Austin Riley (R)10.6%2.0 PA

8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.6%2.0 PA

9Ha-Seong Kim (R)9.2%2.0 PA