MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

LAD @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

LAD
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
vs
4:10 PM EDT
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 68°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To RF

LAD Emmet Sheehan · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.7% Runs / BF

vs LHB15.4%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+125
DKDraftKings-176+132
FANFanatics-180+125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)12.6%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)11.4%2.6 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.9%2.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.8%2.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.8%2.0 PA
7Miguel Andujar (R)10.6%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA

SD Michael King · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
DKDraftKings-108-123

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)17.1%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.4%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)14.1%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)15.3%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)14.4%3.0 PA
6Tommy Edman (L)9.5%3.0 PA
7Kyle Tucker (L)13.8%2.0 PA
8Alex Freeland (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Chuckie Robinson (R)10.4%2.0 PA