MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

CIN @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
00
● LIVE · Top 2
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 76°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, In From CF

CIN Brady Singer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
DKDraftKings-130-102

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Konnor Griffin (R)13.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.8%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.3%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)12.3%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.3%2.3 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)11.4%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)12.0%2.0 PA

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.3%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-115
DKDraftKings-122-109
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (L)13.7%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)12.3%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)12.7%3.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)10.3%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)13.5%3.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)11.3%2.8 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8TJ Friedl (L)9.9%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA