‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026
PHI @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
0–0
● LIVE · Top 2
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From RF
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.0%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+130-175
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-169
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)13.1%3.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)13.3%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)13.5%3.0 PA
4Eric Wagaman (R)12.2%3.0 PA
5Francisco Alvarez (R)10.5%3.0 PA
6Mark Vientos (R)12.4%3.0 PA
7Tyrone Taylor (R)11.7%2.6 PA
8Brett Baty (L)11.8%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)10.2%2.0 PA
Cionel Pérez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB14.1%
vs RHB10.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.5 BF
Expected batters faced10.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 1.4 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)15.1%2.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)13.3%1.6 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)9.1%1.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)8.0%1.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)10.5%1.0 PA
6J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%1.0 PA
7Bryson Stott (L)10.8%1.0 PA
8Derek Hill (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)16.4%1.0 PA