MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

COL @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
vs
2:10 PM EDT
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 74°F OvercastWind 17 mph, In From RF

COL Ryan Feltner · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB13.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-150+113
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)15.2%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)15.8%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)12.6%3.0 PA
4Royce Lewis (R)9.9%2.1 PA
5Brooks Lee (L)14.8%2.0 PA
6Luke Keaschall (R)14.5%2.0 PA
7Ryan Kreidler (R)15.7%2.0 PA
8Austin Martin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)13.3%2.0 PA

MIN Connor Prielipp · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.4%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+113-150

We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)13.4%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)15.4%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)9.4%3.0 PA
5Cole Carrigg (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Kyle Karros (R)13.5%2.6 PA
7Troy Johnston (L)9.4%2.0 PA
8Braxton Fulford (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.9%2.0 PA