MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

CHC @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
vs
2:10 PM EDT
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft 76°F OvercastWind 10 mph, In From LF

CHC Ryan Rolison · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.6%
vs RHB10.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.1 BF

Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+160-220
FANFanatics+155-225

We project 0.9 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)11.4%1.1 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)14.8%1.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)11.5%1.0 PA
4Andrew Vaughn (R)13.2%1.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)10.6%1.0 PA
6Gary Sánchez (R)13.2%1.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.0%1.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.6%1.0 PA

MIL Brandon Woodruff · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.7% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB10.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
DKDraftKings-161+121

We project 2.2 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.1%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)10.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)10.5%2.9 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.1%2.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)15.2%2.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.0%2.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)13.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)14.9%2.0 PA