MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

ATH @ LAA Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
vs
3:15 PM EDT
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
LAA
Angel StadiumElevation 151 ftCenter Field 396 ft 72°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To RF

ATH Aaron Civale · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.4%
vs RHB9.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-117-113
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)15.0%3.0 PA
2Denzer Guzman (R)10.9%3.0 PA
3Nolan Schanuel (L)11.2%3.0 PA
4Jo Adell (R)12.5%2.9 PA
5Vaughn Grissom (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Wade Meckler (L)12.1%2.0 PA
7Oswald Peraza (R)8.5%2.0 PA
8Josh Lowe (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)11.9%2.0 PA

LAA Sam Aldegheri · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate14.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB12.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.1 BF

Expected batters faced18.1
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

ATH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Henry Bolte (R)13.7%2.1 PA
2Joey Meneses (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)14.1%2.0 PA
4Jonah Heim (R)11.8%2.0 PA
5Colby Thomas (R)11.6%2.0 PA
6Lawrence Butler (L)12.8%2.0 PA
7Max Muncy (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)10.9%2.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)11.1%2.0 PA