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Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

HOU @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
00
● LIVE · Bot 1
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 81°F SunnyWind 9 mph, In From LF

HOU Hunter Brown · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.0%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+125
DKDraftKings-173+130

We project 1.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.2%3.0 PA
2Colt Keith (L)12.8%3.0 PA
3Riley Greene (L)12.3%3.0 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)14.1%2.4 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)11.4%2.0 PA
6Zach McKinstry (L)9.0%2.0 PA
7Hao-Yu Lee (R)8.8%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Matt Vierling (R)9.4%2.0 PA

DET Jack Flaherty · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB12.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics+120-170

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)15.1%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)10.1%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)10.9%2.3 PA
5Joey Loperfido (L)12.4%2.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)9.8%2.0 PA
7Taylor Trammell (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Meyers (R)11.1%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)11.7%2.0 PA