MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

KC @ CWS Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
vs
2:10 PM EDT
CWS
Chicago White Sox
CWS
Rate FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, In From LF

KC Luinder Avila · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.6%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.5 BF

Expected batters faced17.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CWS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Sam Antonacci (L)15.5%2.0 PA
2Miguel Vargas (R)12.9%2.0 PA
3Kyle Teel (L)12.8%2.0 PA
4Andrew Benintendi (L)12.2%2.0 PA
5Colson Montgomery (L)12.0%2.0 PA
6Chase Meidroth (R)11.9%2.0 PA
7Braden Montgomery (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tristan Peters (L)13.9%2.0 PA
9Jacob Gonzalez (L)12.3%1.6 PA

CWS Anthony Kay · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB10.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)10.2%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)13.5%3.0 PA
3Carter Jensen (L)13.0%3.0 PA
4Starling Marte (R)11.0%3.0 PA
5Salvador Perez (R)11.0%2.9 PA
6Michael Massey (L)12.6%2.0 PA
7Isaac Collins (R)12.0%2.0 PA
8Tyler Tolbert (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kameron Misner (L)10.1%2.0 PA