‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 29, 2026
PIT @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 29, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
6:40 PM EDT
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.2%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)13.9%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)15.1%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)18.3%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)10.7%3.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)16.9%3.0 PA
6J.T. Realmuto (R)13.5%3.0 PA
7Bryson Stott (L)13.2%2.5 PA
8Derek Hill (R)15.3%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)7.5%2.0 PA
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.0%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Konnor Griffin (R)13.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.8%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.3%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)12.3%2.8 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.3%2.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)11.4%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)12.0%2.0 PA