MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 29, 2026

CIN @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 29, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
vs
7:40 PM EDT
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft

CIN Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.0%
vs RHB12.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)14.8%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)11.5%3.0 PA
4Andrew Vaughn (R)13.2%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)10.6%3.0 PA
6Gary Sánchez (R)13.2%2.5 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.0%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.6%2.0 PA

MIL Robert Gasser · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (R)11.5%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)12.0%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)11.3%3.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)11.8%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)13.1%2.1 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)13.2%2.0 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)11.4%2.0 PA
8TJ Friedl (L)10.3%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (R)11.7%2.0 PA