MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

CIN @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
vs
7:40 PM EDT
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft

CIN Rhett Lowder · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.7%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jackson Chourio (R)13.4%3.0 PA
2Brice Turang (L)14.6%3.0 PA
3William Contreras (R)13.2%3.0 PA
4Andrew Vaughn (R)8.7%2.3 PA
5Gary Sánchez (R)11.9%2.0 PA
6Blake Perkins (L)12.2%2.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)10.9%2.0 PA

MIL Brandon Sproat · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.9%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (L)13.7%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)12.3%3.0 PA
3Spencer Steer (R)13.5%3.0 PA
4JJ Bleday (L)12.7%2.2 PA
5Dane Myers (R)11.5%2.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)11.3%2.0 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)10.0%2.0 PA
8Matt McLain (R)10.0%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA