MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

MIN @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
vs
8:10 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft

MIN Joe Ryan · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB9.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)12.4%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.3%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)10.1%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)10.9%3.0 PA
5Taylor Trammell (L)12.1%3.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)9.8%3.0 PA
7Joey Loperfido (L)12.4%2.3 PA
8Nick Allen (R)12.1%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.2%2.0 PA

HOU Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB15.2%
vs RHB8.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)15.2%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)14.8%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)12.6%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)13.8%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)9.9%2.7 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)11.9%2.0 PA
7Ryan Kreidler (R)15.7%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)10.3%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)14.5%2.0 PA