MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

SD @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
vs
8:05 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

SD JP Sears · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)10.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)8.7%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)13.5%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (R)13.0%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)13.1%2.5 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)12.2%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)11.9%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)14.5%2.0 PA

CHC Matthew Boyd · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB10.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)13.3%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)12.8%3.0 PA
4Miguel Andujar (R)8.9%2.1 PA
5Ty France (R)10.8%2.0 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)9.2%2.0 PA
7Xander Bogaerts (R)10.1%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)10.1%2.0 PA
9Jake Cronenworth (L)10.0%2.0 PA