MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

STL @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
7:15 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate15.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB15.4%
vs RHB13.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)11.0%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)11.4%3.0 PA
3Ozzie Albies (R)11.0%3.0 PA
4Matt Olson (L)12.7%2.5 PA
5Drake Baldwin (L)13.0%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)10.6%2.0 PA
7Joey Bart (R)12.5%2.0 PA
8Eli White (R)10.6%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)9.2%2.0 PA

ATL Martín Pérez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB9.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.2 BF

Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)9.8%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)13.8%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)9.6%2.2 PA
4Lars Nootbaar (L)11.4%2.0 PA
5Masyn Winn (R)12.0%2.0 PA
6Bryan Torres (L)10.9%2.0 PA
7Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nathan Church (L)11.0%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)9.0%2.0 PA