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Earned Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

NYM @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
vs
3:07 PM EDT
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft

NYM Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.7% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.0%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)13.7%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)11.5%3.0 PA
3Alejandro Kirk (R)8.8%3.0 PA
4Sean Keys (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)10.1%3.0 PA
6Daulton Varsho (L)12.3%2.5 PA
7Luis Urías (R)11.8%2.0 PA
8Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)10.3%2.0 PA

TOR Braydon Fisher · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.1 BF

Expected batters faced10.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)12.2%2.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)13.2%1.1 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)11.8%1.0 PA
4Francisco Lindor (L)14.0%1.0 PA
5Jared Young (L)12.2%1.0 PA
6A.J. Ewing (L)10.4%1.0 PA
7Francisco Alvarez (R)10.4%1.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)9.7%1.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)9.9%1.0 PA