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Earned Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

DET @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
vs
1:35 PM EDT
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft

DET Troy Melton · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Paul Goldschmidt (R)11.0%3.0 PA
2Amed Rosario (R)13.4%3.0 PA
3Ben Rice (L)15.5%3.0 PA
4Jasson Domínguez (L)9.9%3.0 PA
5Anthony Volpe (R)12.6%3.0 PA
6José Caballero (R)10.0%2.8 PA
7Spencer Jones (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Max Schuemann (R)13.8%2.0 PA
9Ali Sánchez (R)12.7%2.0 PA

NYY Will Warren · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.3%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)14.1%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.8%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)12.8%3.0 PA
5Colt Keith (L)12.5%3.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)10.5%2.8 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)9.4%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)10.8%2.0 PA
9Hao-Yu Lee (R)8.3%2.0 PA