MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

CIN @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
vs
8:10 PM EDT
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft

CIN Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.7% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.1%
vs RHB10.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)11.5%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)13.5%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)13.3%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)10.4%3.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)9.6%2.3 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8Joey Ortiz (R)9.0%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.6%2.0 PA

MIL Shane Drohan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.2 BF

Expected batters faced18.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (R)12.1%2.2 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)10.9%2.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)11.8%2.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.0%2.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)12.5%2.0 PA
7Edwin Arroyo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)12.9%2.0 PA
9TJ Friedl (L)10.5%2.0 PA