MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

TB @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
7:40 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

TB Shane McClanahan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB9.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)12.3%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)14.1%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)11.4%3.0 PA
4Lane Thomas (R)10.8%2.8 PA
5Michael Massey (L)12.1%2.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)10.6%2.0 PA
7John Rave (L)12.9%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)11.0%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (R)12.6%2.0 PA

KC Seth Lugo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.7%
vs RHB12.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)13.9%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)13.5%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)14.2%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)10.8%3.0 PA
5Jonny DeLuca (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)10.7%2.1 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)11.4%2.0 PA
8Taylor Walls (L)13.9%2.0 PA
9Nick Fortes (R)9.4%2.0 PA