‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
SD @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
vs
2:20 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Walker Buehler · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB11.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.1%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.0%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)12.3%3.0 PA
4Carson Kelly (R)14.0%2.7 PA
5Michael Busch (L)10.0%2.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)10.8%2.0 PA
7Ian Happ (L)15.1%2.0 PA
8Dansby Swanson (R)14.2%2.0 PA
9Kevin Alcántara (R)13.1%2.0 PA
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB10.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)12.1%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)12.8%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Miguel Andujar (R)10.3%3.0 PA
5Ty France (R)11.6%3.0 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Xander Bogaerts (R)11.3%2.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)10.3%2.0 PA