‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
WSH @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
WSH
Washington Nationals
vs
1:35 PM EDT
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft
Andrew Alvarez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB8.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.9 BF
Expected batters faced17.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Anthony Seigler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)13.1%2.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)14.0%2.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)13.7%2.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)12.0%2.0 PA
6Romy Gonzalez (R)12.1%2.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)10.6%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)13.2%2.0 PA
9Tsung-Che Cheng (L)11.0%1.9 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.9%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)11.9%3.0 PA
2Andrés Chaparro (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)13.2%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.5%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)15.5%3.0 PA
6Jacob Young (R)11.6%3.0 PA
7Daylen Lile (L)10.3%2.3 PA
8Nasim Nuñez (R)13.1%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (R)11.3%2.0 PA