MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Thursday, July 2, 2026

SD @ LAD Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, July 2, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
vs
10:10 PM EDT
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft

SD Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.4%
vs RHB11.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)17.5%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.8%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)13.9%3.0 PA
4Max Muncy (L)13.5%2.9 PA
5Kyle Tucker (L)13.3%2.0 PA
6Tommy Edman (L)10.2%2.0 PA
7Alex Freeland (L)12.5%2.0 PA
8Miguel Rojas (R)9.8%2.0 PA
9Chuckie Robinson (R)10.2%2.0 PA

LAD Roki Sasaki · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB11.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)12.7%3.0 PA
2Gavin Sheets (L)13.0%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Ty France (R)12.4%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)11.8%2.4 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.9%2.0 PA
7Jake Cronenworth (L)11.6%2.0 PA
8Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)13.0%2.0 PA